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Best odds
2.20
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Notts County 0-1 Grimsby Town

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Notts County Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.20
Result
Lost
Graded score
Notts County 0-1 Grimsby Town

Why the model called it

History

Notts County at home are clear market favorites at around 44% implied probability, and crucially their odds have been shortening from 2.15 to 2.07 over the last 12 hours — money is coming in for them. Bookmakers show strong consensus on this price, which adds reliability to the signal. This is a proper local derby at Meadow Lane, and Notts County will fancy themselves with home advantage in League 2. The three-way nature of the market and bookmaker disagreement on Grimsby's price tempers confidence somewhat, but the direction of travel clearly points to a home win.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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