Serie A - ItalyFinal
Best odds
2.49
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Parma 1-1 Cagliari
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Parma Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.49
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Parma 1-1 Cagliari
Why the model called it
Parma at home look the most likely winners here — the market has them at roughly 40% to win, clearly ahead of the draw (~33%) and Cagliari (~28%). Their odds have been shortening from 2.45 to 2.38 over the last 12 hours, suggesting money is flowing their way, while Cagliari's price has drifted noticeably from 3.20 to 3.40. Strong bookmaker consensus on Parma's pricing adds reliability. In Serie A, home advantage still counts for plenty, especially between sides in the lower half of the table where the Tardini crowd can be a real factor.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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