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Best odds
1.86
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Philadelphia Union 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Philadelphia Union Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.86
Result
Lost
Graded score
Philadelphia Union 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Why the model called it

History

Philadelphia Union at home are clear favorites here, with the market pricing them around a 52% chance to win outright. There's strong bookmaker consensus on their price, which adds reliability to that signal. Interestingly, San Jose's odds have been shortening noticeably — dropping from 4.35 to 4.05 — while Philly has drifted slightly from 1.70 to 1.80, suggesting some money has come in for the visitors. That drift tempers my confidence, but hosting at Subaru Park still matters in MLS, and the Quakes remain firmly the outsiders despite attracting some backing.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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