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Best odds
2.32
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Plymouth Argyle 5-2 Cardiff City

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Cardiff City Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 66/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.32
Result
Lost
Graded score
Plymouth Argyle 5-2 Cardiff City

Why the model called it

History

Cardiff City are the clear market favorites at around 43% implied probability, and their odds have been shortening from 2.23 to 2.17 over the last 12 hours — money is backing them. Strong bookmaker consensus on Cardiff's price adds reliability to this signal. Playing away at Plymouth in League 1 is never straightforward, but the market clearly rates Cardiff as the superior side here. With Plymouth at home only given roughly a 32% chance, the Bluebirds look the most likely winners despite the away trip.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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