Lost-1.00u
Graded on Puebla 0-0 Necaxa
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Puebla Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.23
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Puebla 0-0 Necaxa
Why the model called it
Puebla at home are clear market favorites, priced around a 45% chance to win — comfortably the most likely outcome in a three-way market. Necaxa's odds have been shortening, suggesting some money coming their way, but Puebla's pricing has remained rock-steady, indicating the market is confident in the home side. Liga MX home advantage tends to be significant, especially at altitude in Puebla. With bookmakers showing only moderate disagreement on the home win, this looks like a fairly reliable signal despite the lack of deeper form data.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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