Lost-1.00u
Graded on Rangers 2-2 Celtic
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Rangers Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.25
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Rangers 2-2 Celtic
Why the model called it
Rangers at home in an Old Firm derby are priced as clear favorites at around 42% — and bookmakers are in strong consensus on that price with barely any disagreement. Celtic's odds have been shortening from 3.05 to 2.95, suggesting some money coming in for them, but Rangers still hold a significant edge. Ibrox is a fortress in these fixtures and the market reflects that home advantage. Given the tight nature of derbies and Celtic attracting support, I'm moderately confident rather than highly so.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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