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Best odds
1.77
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.77u

Graded on Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Oviedo

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Rayo Vallecano Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 78/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.77
Result
Won
Graded score
Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Oviedo

Why the model called it

History

Rayo Vallecano at home in Vallecas are clear favorites here — the market prices them around a 56% chance with strong bookmaker consensus, which is a reliable signal. Oviedo away from home in La Liga is always a tough ask, and the books reflect that with only about an 18% implied chance. Rayo's odds have drifted very slightly from 1.67 to 1.70 over 12 hours, but that's negligible movement. Vallecas is a notoriously hostile ground for visitors, and Rayo's home advantage in the Spanish second/top tier is well-established — this looks a solid home win.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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