Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Reggiana 1-1 Avellino
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Reggiana Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.76
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Reggiana 1-1 Avellino
Why the model called it
Reggiana at home look the most likely winners here. The market prices them around a 37% chance, clearly the shortest of the three outcomes, and crucially their odds have been shortening over the past 12 hours — from 2.62 down to 2.45 — suggesting money has been coming in for the hosts. Meanwhile, Avellino's odds have drifted from 2.80 to 3.00, a clear signal that confidence in the visitors is waning. Home advantage matters in Serie B, and the market movement reinforces Reggiana's edge. Still a three-way market with no dominant favorite, so confidence stays moderate.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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