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Best odds
1.85
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.85u

Graded on Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Rot-Weiss Essen Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.85
Result
Won
Graded score
Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim

Why the model called it

History

Rot-Weiss Essen are clear favorites at home with the market pricing them around a 50% chance — notably stronger than either the draw or Waldhof Mannheim, which sit almost identically around 25%. Bookmakers show strong consensus on Essen's price, which adds reliability to that signal. The slight drift in Essen's odds over the last 12 hours (from ~1.72 to 1.80) tempers enthusiasm somewhat, suggesting some money has come for the visitors. Still, home advantage in the 3. Liga is meaningful, and the market separation between Essen and the other outcomes is decisive enough to back them.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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