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Best odds
1.90
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.90u

Graded on San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 Sporting Kansas City

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — San Jose Earthquakes Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.90
Result
Won
Graded score
San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 Sporting Kansas City

Why the model called it

History

San Jose Earthquakes at home are clear market favorites, priced around a 50% chance to win with strong bookmaker consensus — very little disagreement across 62 books. Meanwhile, the draw has been shortening noticeably over the last 12 hours (from 4.15 to 3.9), which suggests some money flowing toward a tighter game. Kansas City's odds have stayed flat, indicating limited backing for an away win. MLS home advantage is meaningful, and with the market firmly behind San Jose, they look the most likely outcome, though the draw drift warrants some caution.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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