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Best odds
2.35
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Swindon Town

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Swindon Town Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.35
Result
Lost
Graded score
Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Swindon Town

Why the model called it

History

Swindon Town are clear market favorites at around 41% implied probability, and bookmakers show strong consensus on their price with minimal disagreement. Their odds have shortened slightly from 2.30 to 2.25 over the past 12 hours, suggesting money is coming in for the away side. Meanwhile, Shrewsbury's odds have drifted from 2.90 to 3.00, which is a telling signal — the home side is losing support. League 2 away wins aren't uncommon when there's a genuine quality gap, and the market is pricing one here. Limited data beyond odds, but the signals all point the same way.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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