Won+1.14u
Graded on Sweden 3-2 Poland
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Sweden Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 82/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.14
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Sweden 3-2 Poland
Why the model called it
Sweden are the clear market favorite here, reflected in the shortest median odds and the strongest consensus. Poland and the draw sit at longer prices with only some disagreement around them. The market implies roughly a 50% shot for Sweden, with the other outcomes behind. In these qualifiers, home-side control and steady game management often tilt tight matches in favor of the favorite.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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