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Best odds
2.06
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Swindon Town 1-2 Crewe Alexandra

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Swindon Town Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.06
Result
Lost
Graded score
Swindon Town 1-2 Crewe Alexandra

Why the model called it

History

Swindon Town at home are clear market favorites here, priced around a 46% chance after normalization — nearly double that of either alternative. Bookmakers show strong consensus on Swindon's price with just a 3% spread, while there's more disagreement on the draw and Crewe lines. The odds have also shortened slightly from 2.04 to 2.00 over the past 12 hours, suggesting money continues to flow toward the hosts. Home advantage in League 2 is meaningful, and with the market this aligned, Swindon look the most likely winners.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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