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Best odds
1.82
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Toluca Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.82
Result
Lost
Graded score
Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul

Why the model called it

History

Toluca at home are clear favorites here — the market prices them around a 54% chance with strong bookmaker consensus at 1.73 median odds. Cruz Azul's odds show notable disagreement among books, suggesting uncertainty about their chances as visitors. Toluca's price has drifted slightly from 1.695 to 1.73 over 12 hours, but they remain comfortably the shortest in the market. Home advantage matters in Liga MX, and the books are aligned that Toluca should take this one.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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