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Best odds
1.85
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.85u

Graded on TSV 1860 München 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — TSV 1860 München Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.85
Result
Won
Graded score
TSV 1860 München 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue

Why the model called it

History

1860 München at home are clear market favorites, priced around a 51% chance with very strong bookmaker consensus — the tightest spread of all three outcomes. Both the draw and Aue have seen their odds shorten over the past 12 hours, which slightly muddies the picture, but 1860's pricing has remained rock-steady. In the 3. Liga, home advantage matters, and the market clearly trusts the hosts here. The notable disagreement on Aue's odds (28% spread) suggests uncertainty about the visitors' chances rather than genuine backing.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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