Won+1.62u
Graded on Ukraine 1-3 Sweden
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Sweden Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 78/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.62
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Ukraine 1-3 Sweden
Why the model called it
Sweden to win. The market backs them as the strongest option even as the away side, with odds implying roughly a 37% chance to win and stronger consensus than either the Ukrainian win or the draw. The draw shows more dispersion, reinforcing Sweden as the pick. In qualifiers, disciplined away performances often ride the market’s confidence in a tidy result.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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