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Best odds
2.38
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Vasco da Gama 0-1 Bahia

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Vasco da Gama Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.38
Result
Lost
Graded score
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Bahia

Why the model called it

History

Vasco da Gama at home look the clear market pick here — priced around a 40% chance, comfortably ahead of both Bahia and the draw at roughly 30% each. Crucially, Vasco's odds have been shortening over the last 12 hours (from 2.43 to 2.295), suggesting money is backing them, while Bahia's price has drifted noticeably from 2.95 to 3.10. Home advantage in the Série A is significant, and the bookmakers show tighter agreement on Vasco's price than on the other outcomes. Not a slam dunk, but the market direction is clear.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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