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Best odds
2.42
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Vasco da Gama 2-1 Palmeiras

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Palmeiras Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.42
Result
Lost
Graded score
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Palmeiras

Why the model called it

History

Palmeiras are clear market favorites at around 42% implied probability, comfortably ahead of Vasco (~30%) and the draw (~27%). Even playing away at São Januário, Palmeiras are one of the strongest sides in Brazilian football and consistently perform well on the road in Série A. Odds have held steady with no drift, suggesting the market is settled on their superiority. Some bookmaker disagreement on Vasco's price hints at uncertainty about the hosts' chances, further supporting Palmeiras as the likeliest winner.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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