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Best odds
2.20
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Virtus Entella 2-1 Modena

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Modena Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.20
Result
Lost
Graded score
Virtus Entella 2-1 Modena

Why the model called it

History

Modena are clear market favorites here at around 45% implied probability, and their odds have been shortening from 2.10 to 2.05 over the past 12 hours — money is coming in for them. Notably, they're the away team yet still priced significantly shorter than the home side, which says a lot about how the market views this matchup. Serie B home advantage exists but isn't as dominant as in some leagues, and Virtus Entella being priced as outsiders at home is a strong signal. Strong bookmaker consensus on Modena's price adds reliability to this read.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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