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Best odds
1.84
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Vitória SC 1-1 Alverca

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Vitória SC Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 74/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.84
Result
Lost
Graded score
Vitória SC 1-1 Alverca

Why the model called it

History

Vitória SC are clear favorites at home, with the market pricing them around a 53% chance to win. Bookmakers show strong consensus on their odds, which is a reliable signal. The slight drift from 1.715 to 1.77 tempers confidence a touch — some money may have come for the draw or Alverca — but Vitória remain firmly favored. Playing in Guimarães, a notoriously hostile ground in Portuguese football, gives them a meaningful edge against a side like Alverca who attract significant bookmaker disagreement at their longer price.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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