Bundesliga - GermanyFinal
1. FC Köln Win1. FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli Prediction · Match Result
Best odds
2.05
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on 1. FC Köln 1-1 FC St. Pauli
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — 1. FC Köln Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.05
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- 1. FC Köln 1-1 FC St. Pauli
Why the model called it
1. FC Köln, playing at home, has a significantly higher win rate (40% at home) compared to FC St. Pauli's away win rate of just 16.67%. Despite Köln's overall win rate being only slightly better at 33.33% versus St. Pauli's 16.67%, the home advantage and the disparity in performance at respective venues tilt the prediction in favor of Köln. The odds of 2.05 for Köln also suggest they are the favorites, reflecting a higher probability of winning according to the market.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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