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Best odds
1.83
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on 1. FC Nürnberg 2-2 Greuther Fürth

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — 1. FC Nürnberg Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.83
Result
Lost
Graded score
1. FC Nürnberg 2-2 Greuther Fürth

Why the model called it

History

1. FC Nürnberg, playing at home, holds a stronger position with a home win rate of 42.86% compared to Greuther Fürth's away win rate of 28.57%. The odds of 1.83 for Nürnberg further solidify their favoritism, indicating a higher probability of winning. Given these factors, Nürnberg is more likely to secure a victory in this Bundesliga 2 matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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