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Best odds
2.35
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on 2 de Mayo 1-0 Alianza Lima

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Alianza Lima Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 78/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.35
Result
Lost
Graded score
2 de Mayo 1-0 Alianza Lima

Why the model called it

History

Alianza Lima is priced as the favorite with a normalized implied probability of approximately 40%, compared to 2 de Mayo at around 29% and a draw at about 31%. The market shows low disagreement on Alianza Lima's odds, indicating strong consensus among bookmakers. Additionally, there has been market support for Alianza Lima, as evidenced by odds shortening from 2.46 to 2.28. Despite the high stakes of a Copa Libertadores match, the consistent market signals suggest Alianza Lima is the most likely winner.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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