Lost-1.00u
Graded on Aberdeen 1-1 FC Noah
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Aberdeen Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.34
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Aberdeen 1-1 FC Noah
Why the model called it
Aberdeen, playing at home, holds a significant advantage, especially in a high-stakes UEFA Europa Conference League match. The odds of 2.34 for Aberdeen compared to 3.4 for FC Noah suggest that the market also views Aberdeen as the more likely winner. Despite FC Noah's decent away form with a 50% win rate, the home advantage and the competitive context likely favor Aberdeen.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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