CD Castellón look the likeliest winner here, despite being away. Based on market pricing, they are the clear favorite with odds around 1.62 and a strong consensus among bookmakers, with backing trending shorter over the last 12 hours. Ceuta is priced higher and the draw is broadly unattractive, signaling less likelihood of an upset. In this fixture, away-backed favorites in La Liga 2 often rely on disciplined structure to neutralize the home side's edge.
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