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Best odds
2.10
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Adelaide United 0-1 Brisbane Roar

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Adelaide United Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.10
Result
Lost
Graded score
Adelaide United 0-1 Brisbane Roar

Why the model called it

History

Adelaide United, playing at home, shows a strong performance with a 100% win rate in their home games this season, which is a significant advantage. Despite both teams having an overall win rate of 50%, Adelaide's home strength and the lower odds of 2.1 compared to Brisbane Roar's 3.6 suggest a higher probability of a home win. The market clearly favors Adelaide United, reflecting their solid home form and likely better condition for this match.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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