Dutch EredivisieFinal
Best odds
1.40
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Ajax 1-2 Excelsior
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Ajax Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 90/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.40
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Ajax 1-2 Excelsior
Why the model called it
Ajax, playing at home, are the clear favorites with odds of 1.4, indicating a strong probability of winning. Excelsior's form, with an away win rate of just 16.67% and an overall win rate of 25%, further supports the likelihood of an Ajax victory. The significant difference in odds and Excelsior's poor performance away from home make Ajax the most probable winner in this matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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