La Liga - SpainFinal
Best odds
1.95
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Alavés 1-1 Oviedo
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Alavés Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.95
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Alavés 1-1 Oviedo
Why the model called it
Alavés, playing at home, shows a significantly stronger form with a home win rate of 44.44% compared to their overall 31.25%. In contrast, Oviedo struggles both overall and on the road, with a win rate of 12.5% in both metrics. The odds of 1.95 for Alavés further reflect their favorable position in this matchup, suggesting a higher probability of a home win. Betting on Alavés seems the more prudent choice given these factors.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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