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Best odds
2.38
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Alverca 1-1 Rio Ave FC

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Alverca Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.38
Result
Lost
Graded score
Alverca 1-1 Rio Ave FC

Why the model called it

History

Despite Alverca's modest overall win rate of 16.67%, their performance at home is notably better, with a win rate of 33.33%. This suggests a stronger showing when they play on familiar ground. Additionally, the odds of 2.38 for Alverca compared to 3.55 for Rio Ave FC indicate that the market also leans towards a home advantage in this matchup. Given these factors, Alverca appears to be the more likely winner in this encounter.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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