Lost-1.00u
Graded on Arouca 1-0 Alverca
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Alverca Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.62
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Arouca 1-0 Alverca
Why the model called it
Alverca appears to be the stronger team in this matchup, boasting a significantly higher overall win rate (38.46%) compared to Arouca's 16.67%. Additionally, Alverca's away win rate (33.33%) is more than double Arouca's home win rate (14.29%), suggesting they perform well on the road. The odds of 2.62 for Alverca also indicate they are the favorites, reinforcing their likelihood of securing a win. Always consider the risks and bet responsibly.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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