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Best odds
2.62
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Arouca 1-0 Alverca

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Alverca Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.62
Result
Lost
Graded score
Arouca 1-0 Alverca

Why the model called it

History

Alverca appears to be the stronger team in this matchup, boasting a significantly higher overall win rate (38.46%) compared to Arouca's 16.67%. Additionally, Alverca's away win rate (33.33%) is more than double Arouca's home win rate (14.29%), suggesting they perform well on the road. The odds of 2.62 for Alverca also indicate they are the favorites, reinforcing their likelihood of securing a win. Always consider the risks and bet responsibly.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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