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Best odds
2.02
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Arouca 2-2 Gil Vicente

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Gil Vicente Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.02
Result
Lost
Graded score
Arouca 2-2 Gil Vicente

Why the model called it

History

Gil Vicente appears to be the stronger team in this matchup, boasting a higher overall win rate of 50% compared to Arouca's 15.38%. Additionally, Gil Vicente's away win rate of 37.5% significantly surpasses Arouca's home win rate of 14.29%. The odds of 2.02 for Gil Vicente further reflect their favorable position against Arouca, whose odds stand at 4.5, indicating a lower probability of winning. Given these statistics and the market odds, Gil Vicente is more likely to secure a win in this Primeira Liga encounter.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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