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Best odds
1.59
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Arsenal 1-1 Crystal Palace

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Arsenal Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.59
Result
Lost
Graded score
Arsenal 1-1 Crystal Palace

Why the model called it

History

Arsenal, playing at home in the EFL Cup, are significantly favored with odds of 1.59 compared to Crystal Palace's 7.6. This stark difference in odds suggests a strong belief in Arsenal's superiority and likelihood of winning, likely due to their stronger squad and home advantage. Given these factors, Arsenal is the more probable victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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