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Best odds
2.16
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on AS Monaco 1-3 Lyon

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — AS Monaco Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.16
Result
Lost
Graded score
AS Monaco 1-3 Lyon

Why the model called it

History

AS Monaco, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 62.5%, compared to Lyon's away win rate of only 25%. Despite Monaco's slightly lower overall win rate compared to Lyon, their home advantage and Lyon's poor away performance make Monaco the more likely winner. The odds of 2.16 for Monaco also suggest they are the favorites in this matchup, reinforcing their likelihood of securing a win.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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