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Best odds
2.22
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Athletic Club (MG) 0-4 Chapecoense

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Athletic Club (MG) Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.22
Result
Lost
Graded score
Athletic Club (MG) 0-4 Chapecoense

Why the model called it

History

Athletic Club (MG), playing at home, has a significant advantage, especially in a league like Brazil Série B where home teams often perform better due to familiar conditions and fan support. The odds of 2.22 for Athletic Club (MG) suggest they are the favorites, albeit not overwhelmingly so. This indicates a higher probability of a home win compared to Chapecoense, whose odds of 3.85 reflect a lower chance of pulling off an away victory. Given these factors, Athletic Club (MG) is the more likely winner in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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