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Best odds
1.51
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.51u

Graded on Athletic Club (MG) 2-1 Paysandu

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Athletic Club (MG) Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.51
Result
Won
Graded score
Athletic Club (MG) 2-1 Paysandu

Why the model called it

History

Athletic Club (MG) holds a distinct advantage playing at home, where their win rate is significantly higher at 27.8% compared to Paysandu's away win rate of 16.7%. Additionally, Athletic Club's overall win rate this season stands at 29.7%, outperforming Paysandu's 13.5%. The odds of 1.51 for Athletic Club further reflect their favorable position in this matchup, suggesting a higher probability of securing a win. Given these factors, Athletic Club (MG) is the more likely victor in this encounter.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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