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Best odds
1.39
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.39u

Graded on Atlético Madrid 1-0 Alavés

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Atlético Madrid Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.39
Result
Won
Graded score
Atlético Madrid 1-0 Alavés

Why the model called it

History

Atlético Madrid, playing at home, shows a strong performance with an 88.89% win rate in home games, significantly higher than Alavés's 14.29% win rate in away games. The odds of 1.39 for Atlético Madrid to win reflect their dominance and higher likelihood of securing a victory in this matchup. Given these factors, Atlético Madrid is the clear favorite to win this La Liga match.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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