Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona

Barcelona are the favorites to win here. The market backs Barça in the low-2s and has tightened slightly over the last 12 hours, while Atlético and the draw trail. That sets Barça as the strongest outright probability, roughly in the low-to-mid 40% range. In La Liga clashes like this, Barça’s quality tends to shine even when the hosting side isn’t discouraged by the venue.