Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Avellino 0-3 Empoli
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Avellino Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.42
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Avellino 0-3 Empoli
Why the model called it
Avellino, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 60%, significantly better than Empoli's away win rate of 20%. The odds of 2.42 for Avellino also suggest a higher probability of winning compared to Empoli's odds of 3.6. Given the stark contrast in performance at home versus away, Avellino is the more likely victor in this matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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