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Best odds
2.42
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Avellino 0-3 Empoli

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Avellino Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.42
Result
Lost
Graded score
Avellino 0-3 Empoli

Why the model called it

History

Avellino, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 60%, significantly better than Empoli's away win rate of 20%. The odds of 2.42 for Avellino also suggest a higher probability of winning compared to Empoli's odds of 3.6. Given the stark contrast in performance at home versus away, Avellino is the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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