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Best odds
1.34
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on AZ Alkmaar 0-0 Excelsior

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — AZ Alkmaar Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.34
Result
Lost
Graded score
AZ Alkmaar 0-0 Excelsior

Why the model called it

History

AZ Alkmaar, playing at home, is heavily favored with odds of 1.34, indicating a strong likelihood of victory. Excelsior's win rate away from home is just over 28%, and their overall win rate is about 33%, which does not inspire confidence against a stronger opponent like AZ Alkmaar. The significant difference in odds reflects the disparity in current form and likely performance, making AZ Alkmaar the clear favorite in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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