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Best odds
1.23
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.23u

Graded on AZ Alkmaar 1-0 FC Volendam

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — AZ Alkmaar Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.23
Result
Won
Graded score
AZ Alkmaar 1-0 FC Volendam

Why the model called it

History

AZ Alkmaar, playing at home, has a significantly stronger win rate (42.86% at home) compared to FC Volendam's overall win rate of 18.75%. The odds heavily favor AZ Alkmaar at 1.23, indicating a high probability of their victory. Given these factors, AZ Alkmaar is the clear favorite to win this match, reflecting both their superior form and the advantage of playing at home.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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