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Best odds
1.85
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Bahia 3-3 Fluminense

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Bahia Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.85
Result
Lost
Graded score
Bahia 3-3 Fluminense

Why the model called it

History

Analyzing the provided betting odds, Bahia has odds of 1.85 while Fluminense has significantly higher odds at 6.2. Lower odds generally indicate a higher probability of that outcome occurring according to the bookmakers' assessments. The substantial difference in odds suggests that Bahia, being the home team, is heavily favored to win this match against Fluminense. The odds for Bahia imply a higher confidence among bookmakers and bettors in their likelihood of winning, which is reflected in the much lower odds compared to those for Fluminense. Therefore, the most likely outcome for this match is a win for Bahia, and the confidence level is set at 85 due to the clear disparity in the odds.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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