Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Bahia 2-3 Fortaleza
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Bahia Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.54
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Bahia 2-3 Fortaleza
Why the model called it
Bahia, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 75%, significantly higher than their overall win rate. The odds of 1.54 from Betfair further support their favoritism, indicating a high probability of a home win. Fortaleza's high odds of 6.6 suggest they are substantial underdogs in this matchup. Given Bahia's solid performance at home, they are the likely winners.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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