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Best odds
1.54
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Bahia 2-3 Fortaleza

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Bahia Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.54
Result
Lost
Graded score
Bahia 2-3 Fortaleza

Why the model called it

History

Bahia, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 75%, significantly higher than their overall win rate. The odds of 1.54 from Betfair further support their favoritism, indicating a high probability of a home win. Fortaleza's high odds of 6.6 suggest they are substantial underdogs in this matchup. Given Bahia's solid performance at home, they are the likely winners.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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