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Best odds
1.79
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.79u

Graded on Bahia 4-0 Grêmio

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Bahia Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.79
Result
Won
Graded score
Bahia 4-0 Grêmio

Why the model called it

History

Bahia, playing at home, has a strong win rate of 63.64% in their home games, significantly higher than Grêmio's away win rate of 18.18%. The odds of 1.79 for Bahia further indicate a higher probability of winning, reflecting their solid performance at home compared to Grêmio's struggles on the road. Given these factors, Bahia is the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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