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Best odds
1.23
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.23u

Graded on Bahia 2-0 Sport Recife

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Bahia Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.23
Result
Won
Graded score
Bahia 2-0 Sport Recife

Why the model called it

History

Bahia, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 72.22%, significantly outperforming Sport Recife's dismal away and overall win rate of about 5.56%. The odds heavily favor Bahia at 1.23, reflecting their dominance in this matchup, especially considering the stark contrast in form between the two teams. Given these factors, Bahia is the clear favorite to win this match.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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