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Best odds
2.50
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Bari 0-0 Spezia

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Spezia Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.50
Result
Lost
Graded score
Bari 0-0 Spezia

Why the model called it

History

Spezia emerges as the favorite in this Serie B matchup against Bari, with the market leaning towards them at around 38% normalized probability. The odds have seen a slight decrease, suggesting a bit of caution from the market, but they still hold the best chance among the three outcomes. Bari, despite higher best odds, shows significant bookmaker disagreement, reducing confidence in their potential for a win. The draw, while slightly drifting in odds, doesn't present a strong enough case against Spezia's favoritism.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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