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Best odds
2.06
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.06u

Graded on Carrarese 1-0 Bari

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Carrarese Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.06
Result
Won
Graded score
Carrarese 1-0 Bari

Why the model called it

History

Carrarese, playing at home, shows a stronger form with a home win rate of 37.5% compared to Bari's overall away win rate of 18.75%. The odds from Betfair also favor Carrarese at 2.06, indicating a higher probability of winning according to the market. The combination of home advantage and better form makes Carrarese the more likely winner in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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