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Best odds
2.70
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Casa Pia 1-1 Moreirense FC

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Casa Pia Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.70
Result
Lost
Graded score
Casa Pia 1-1 Moreirense FC

Why the model called it

History

Casa Pia emerges as the slight favorite in this Primeira Liga matchup, with the market giving them around a 36% chance of winning. The odds have been relatively stable, indicating a consistent market view. Moreirense FC, despite having slightly drifting odds, still shows some disagreement among bookmakers, suggesting less confidence in their chances. A draw is also less likely, with odds drifting and a lower normalized probability.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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