Won+0.37u
Graded on Celtic 3-1 Aberdeen
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Celtic Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.37
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Celtic 3-1 Aberdeen
Why the model called it
Celtic, playing at home, shows a strong advantage with a home win rate of 75% compared to Aberdeen's away win rate of 57.14%. The odds heavily favor Celtic at 1.37, indicating a high probability of their victory, which aligns with their superior overall win rate of 66.67% against Aberdeen's 43.75%. Given these statistics and the home field advantage, Celtic is the likely winner in this matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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