Chapecoense WinChapecoense vs Clube de Regatas Brasil Prediction · Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+1.02u
Graded on Chapecoense 3-2 Clube de Regatas Brasil
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Chapecoense Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.02
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Chapecoense 3-2 Clube de Regatas Brasil
Why the model called it
Analyzing the odds provided by the bookmakers, Chapecoense has odds of 2.02 while Clube de Regatas Brasil has significantly higher odds of 4.54. Lower odds generally indicate a higher probability of that outcome occurring, suggesting that the market consensus views Chapecoense as more likely to win. The odds for Chapecoense imply a probability of approximately 49.5% (calculated as 1/2.02), whereas the odds for Clube de Regatas Brasil imply a probability of about 22% (calculated as 1/4.54). Given this substantial difference in implied probabilities, it is reasonable to predict that Chapecoense, playing at home, has a better chance of winning this match. The confidence level is set at 75 due to the clear difference in odds, but not higher because the unpredictable nature of sports events, especially in leagues like Brazil Série B, can still lead to unexpected results.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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