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Best odds
1.61
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.61u

Graded on Criciuma 2-0 Botafogo

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Criciuma Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.61
Result
Won
Graded score
Criciuma 2-0 Botafogo

Why the model called it

History

Criciuma, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of about 64%, which is significantly higher than their overall win rate. The odds of 1.61 for Criciuma to win reflect the market's confidence in them leveraging their home advantage against Botafogo. Considering Botafogo's high odds of 7.2, it indicates a lower probability of an upset, making Criciuma the safer bet in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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