Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+0.61u
Graded on Criciuma 2-0 Botafogo
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Criciuma Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.61
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Criciuma 2-0 Botafogo
Why the model called it
Criciuma, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of about 64%, which is significantly higher than their overall win rate. The odds of 1.61 for Criciuma to win reflect the market's confidence in them leveraging their home advantage against Botafogo. Considering Botafogo's high odds of 7.2, it indicates a lower probability of an upset, making Criciuma the safer bet in this matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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